Day Eighteen – Golden Globe Results: I’m 11 for 22

18 01 2010

The Golden Globes have come and gone with a few surprises. Some I was happy for, others not so much.

Let’s go through ’em. Once again, I got the results from EW.com.

FILM AWARDS

Best Picture, Drama
Avatar WINNER
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious
Up in the AirMy Pick

When I had made the prediction, I hadn’t seen every film nominated, but I did by the time the Globes aired. I stand firm on my choice for Up in the Air. The hype for that film was right. The Hurt Locker was just as worthy, even according to Cameron himself. Avatar is an excellent version of Transformers. It’s fluff, not Best Picture.

Best Picture, Musical/Comedy

The Hangover was the only true comedy in the category and deserved the win.

The Hangover WINNER
500 Days of SummerMy Pick
It’s Complicated
Julie & Julia
Nine

It’s nice to see something that most people had seen to win an award, but this makes me worry for the Oscars. The Hangover was a great comedy, but I still think that (500) Days of Summer was a more complete film. It wasn’t so much of a Comedy and based on that alone, I think The Hangover was the only true comedy there. I’m definitely not upset about the win.

Best Director
James Cameron, Avatar WINNER
My Pick
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

I thought Cameron would win this award to acknowledge his box office success, but they’d give Best Picture to the better film. I was wrong.

Best Actor, Musical/Comedy
Robert Downey, Jr., Sherlock Holmes WINNER
Matt Damon, The Informant!
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 500 Days of SummerMy Pick
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man

I’m shocked. I haven’t seen Sherlock Holmes yet and I didn’t expect him to win. It seems like they were going more for box office this year, and given that, this seems like the right choice.

Best Actress, Musical/Comedy
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia WINNER
Sandra Bullock, The ProposalMy Pick
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Julia Roberts, Duplicity
Meryl Streep, It’s Complicated

This probably shocked me the most. I thought the Meryl Streep vote would have been split, allowing Sandra Bullock to come up the middle. Somehow, she managed to win yet again. If she had one nomination, I would have chosen her, but even a split vote can’t stop her.

Best Actress, Drama
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side WINNER – My Pick
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

They still managed to get it to her.

Best Actor, Drama
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart WINNERMy Pick
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Tobey Maguire, Brothers

If you sing and act, you almost guaranteed to win. Not to take away from Jeff Bridges, who was owed this for a while.

Film, Best Supporting Actress
Mo’Nique, Precious WINNER – My Pick
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Julianne Moore, A Single Man

I don’t think anyone expected her to lose. I almost wanted her to after hearing about her refusal to campaign.

Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds WINNER My Pick
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones

If anyone else won this category, it would be a huge upset.

Best Screenplay
Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner,
Up in the Air WINNERMy Pick
Neill Blomkamp & Terri Tatchell, District 9
Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Nancy Meyers, It’s Complicated
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

Definitely the most deserving screenplay of the bunch. There’s not a wasted line in this entire film. Everything leads to something.

Best Animated Film
Up WINNERMy Pick
Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess & The Frog

Pixar maintains its dominance.

Best Song
“The Weary Kind,” Crazy Heart WINNER
“Cinema Italiano,” Nine
“I Want to Come Home,” Everybody’s Fine My Pick
“I Will See You,” Avatar
“Winter,” Brothers

I thought they’d go for the celebrity pick, but McCartney was a presenter so they didn’t need to give him the award to put him on stage.

Best Score
Up WINNER
The Informant!
Avatar
A Single Man
Where the Wild Things Are My Pick

If I had picked with my heart, this would have been my pick.

Best Foreign Language Film
The White Ribbon WINNER
My Pick
Baria
Broken Embraces
The Maid
A Prophet

I thought so, just based on the buzz at the Toronto International Film Festival.

Cecil B. DeMille Award
Martin Scorsese

My guess is George Lucas wins this award next. Him or Francis Ford Coppola.

TV AWARDS

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Mad Men (AMC) WINNER
My Pick
Big Love (HBO)
Dexter (Showtime)
House (Fox)
True Blood (HBO)

Any of these shows, except this season of True Blood, could have won this award and I would have been happy. All were deserving this year.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Glee (FOX) WINNER
30 Rock (NBC) – My Pick
Entourage (HBO)
Modern Family (ABC)
The Office (NBC)

I thought Glee would win if 30 Rock didn’t. It’s the new popular show. Modern Family deserved it a little more though.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Toni Collette, United States of Tara WINNER
Courteney Cox, Cougar Town
Edie Falco, Nurse JackieMy Pick
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Lea Michele, Glee

My guess is because she played four different roles on the same show, people think she’s a great actress. I used to watch the show, but didn’t make it to the end of the first season. I wasn’t a huge fan.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock WINNERMy Pick
Steve Carell, The Office
David Duchovny, Californication
Thomas Jane, Hung
Matthew Morrison, Glee

This is his award until he retires.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Michael C. Hall, Dexter WINNER

A deserved win for Michael C. Hall, wearing a toque to cover the effects of recent cancer treatments.

Simon Baker, The Mentalist
Jon Hamm, Mad MenMy Pick
Hugh Laurie, House
Bill Paxton, Big Love

I was really happy to see Michael C. Hall win this award. He’s definitely deserving, especially for this season of Dexter.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
DRAMA
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife WINNERMy Pick
Glenn Close, Damages
January Jones, Mad Men
Anna Paquin, True Blood
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

This was a pick I made based on what people are saying. I haven’t seen the show, but expected her to win.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES,
MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
John Lithgow, Dexter WINNER

Michael Emerson, Lost
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your MotherMy Pick
William Hurt, Damages
Jeremy Piven, Entourage

I thought this was the year of NPH, but I’m very happy with John Lithgow’s win. It was such a chilling performance. NPH will be back, but this was the only year that Lithgow could have won for him pitch perfect Trinity Killer.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Chloe Sevigny, Big Love WINNER

Jane Adams, Hung
Rose Byrne, Damages
Jane Lynch, GleeMy Pick
Janet McTeer, Into the Storm

I’m surprised, but I agree. Chloe Sevingy is the reason Big Love is interesting. Without her, they’d be able to live their lives conflict free and who wants that?

It was a good show overall. The Oscars can take note on how quickly they go to the awards. No time wasted with long intros or excessive speeches. The only thing I noticed this year was people were quicker to list names. That’s got to be the most unentertaining thing possible. They need to find some way around it, like have the names listed behind them and just let them talk.

I’m worried about the Oscars though. Will they be trying to make up for last year by giving the Best Picture to Avatar as well? They want people to watch, so they might lean towards box office rather than quality. We’ll see, but hopefully they can put together a tight, quick and clean show like the Globes this year.

And hopefully my score is a little better.

The Hangover was the only true comedy in the category and deserved the win.





Day Sixteen – Golden Globe Predictions

16 01 2010

Full disclosure: I haven’t seen all the nominees. That doesn’t seem to make much of a difference when making predictions like this, whether it’s the Globes or the Oscars. In the end it’s all a popularity contest, but most of the time they’re popular for a good reason.

I’ve taken the list of nominees from EW.com, who have their own predictions as well.

I’ve seen most of the TV shows that were nominated, so we’ll start there. I’ve pulled out mini-series because, aside from the fact that I haven’t seen one, I don’t understand why the category still exists.

Here are my best educated guesses:

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Big Love (HBO)
Dexter (Showtime)
House (Fox)
Mad Men (AMC)
True Blood (HBO)

Mad Men will likely win the category. It’s been a favourite of awards shows since it’s inception. They’re the cool kids and I suspect they will stay that way. I would really like to see Dexter win, though. The show gets better and better with every episode and it’s the only show I can’t wait to see.

Mad Men is the obvious choice for best TV drama. It's the new Sopranos and will likely win this category until they're off the air.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
30 Rock (NBC)
Entourage (HBO)
Glee (FOX)
Modern Family (ABC)
The Office (NBC)

30 Rock will likely win. It’s the other cool kid. I could see Glee stealing it as well. Personally, I think The Office has earned it more than anyone else. They’ve managed to sustain the awkward yet likable feeling of the show over so many years. I’m loving Modern Family, but it’ll have its chance in coming years.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Simon Baker, The Mentalist
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Hugh Laurie, House
Bill Paxton, Big Love

Jon Hamm will probably take this one. He’s been in the public eye a lot more recently, so people will actually like to see him get on stage this time. Don Draper is one of the deepest and most conflicted characters on television and this season was no different. Michael C. Hall definitely deserves to win one of these years. His ability to make a cold, hard killer so lovable is an achievement in itself and he should get his recognition for it.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
DRAMA
Glenn Close, Damages
January Jones, Mad Men
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Anna Paquin, True Blood
Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer

Here’s where things get murky. I’ve seen two out of the five nominations here. Julianna Margulies is the name I’ve been hearing a lot lately, so my shot in the dark would have to go with her.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Steve Carell, The Office
David Duchovny, Californication
Thomas Jane, Hung
Matthew Morrison, Glee

Alec Baldwin will likely take this again. Movie stars turned TV stars always take the awards. I would like to see Thomas Jane take it. His pathetic yet likable man-whore on Hung seems like he’s always on the cusp of a suicidal jump in the river, but always seems to pick himself back up and pull through.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES –
COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Toni Collette, United States of Tara
Courteney Cox, Cougar Town
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Lea Michele, Glee

This one is really hard to pick. I’m going to say Edie Falco as more of a make-up vote for her work on The Sopranos. I wouldn’t be shocked if it was given to Tina Fey, since the TV world seems to love her so.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES,
MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Michael Emerson, Lost
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
William Hurt, Damages
John Lithgow, Dexter
Jeremy Piven, Entourage

Neil Patrick Harris has been getting a lot of attention this year. Between his award show hosting stints, his web series Dr. Horrible or for his role as Barney on How I Met Your Mother, NPH has become the guy to watch. John Lithgow really deserves it though. His role at the Trinity Killer on Dexter was so chilling, I can never look at him the same way again.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A
SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Jane Adams, Hung
Rose Byrne, Damages
Jane Lynch, Glee
Janet McTeer, Into the Storm
Chloe Sevigny, Big Love

I keep hearing about how incredible Jane Lynch is on Glee. She’s funny and everyone seems to love her, so anyone else winning would be a shocker.

Next up, we have the Film predictions. I’ve seen a lot fewer of these, so many of them will be outright guesses. I’m working on seeing them before the Oscars, so we’ll see how they sync up then.

I got these nominations from EW.com as well.

Here we go:

Best Picture, Drama
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Precious
Up in the Air

I haven’t seen Precious or Up in the Air yet, but from what I’m hearing everywhere, it’ll go to Up in the Air. Since the Toronto International Film Festival I’ve heard about how Up in the Air is a lock to win. I tried to get tickets at the festival and it was nearly impossible. The rush line was to big for a normal human being to take. I was lucky enough to be there for Juno, but this seems to be Jason Reitman’s best film yet.

I will be shocked and upset if (500) Days of Summer doesn't win Best Comedy/Musical

Best Picture, Musical/Comedy
500 Days of Summer
The Hangover
It’s Complicated
Julie & Julia
Nine

It’s nice to see The Hangover on here, but I doubt it’ll get any recognition outside of the nomination. I would say it will go to (500) Days of Summer. Its quirky style and heart-wrenching story really make it a favourite and it’s easily one of the best films of last year.

Best Actor, Drama
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Tobey Maguire, Brothers

My guess here, since I’ve seen none of these pictures is Jeff Bridges. Voters, in this case the Hollywood Foreign Press, seems to love people who can act and sing. Bridges does both in Crazy Heart, and from what I saw on Conan last night, he seems to be quite good at it.

Best Actress, Drama
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious

The way early release of Precious may have cooled off any potential win by Gabourey Sidibe. Had this been last September, she would be a lock, but I almost feel that Sandra Bullock has stolen the spotlight from her. She’s had a career year with two major hits, and one major flop, so I have to go with the popular vote on this one.

Best Actor, Musical/Comedy
Matt Damon, The Informant!
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Robert Downey, Jr., Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 500 Days of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man

This one is a hard one. Matt Damon was excellent in The Informant!, but I don’t know if the movie itself will take away from his performance. I’d like to see, and based on that will guess, Joseph Gordon-Levitt win this one. The hopeless romantic in (500) Days of Summer was one who was so pathetic that you should hate him, yet you still liked him. You knew he was setting himself up for heartbreak, but you honestly believe he doesn’t see that himself.

Best Actress, Musical/Comedy
Sandra Bullock, The Proposal
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Julia Roberts, Duplicity
Meryl Streep, It’s Complicated
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia

Meryl Streep will end up spliting her own vote, otherwise this would be easy and I would say she’s a lock. Instead it’s between Julia, Marion and Sandra. I’m going to go with Sandra Bullock again. I get the feeling if they give her one award, they have to give her two to make a statement. I’m not sure what that statement is, but that is just how I feel these award shows tend to go.

Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

If Christoph Waltz doesn’t win for this category, it’ll be the biggest snub in years. He’s created a villain to go right next to Darth Vader and Hans Gruber in the Movie Baddy Hall of Fame.

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo’Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man

I’m hearing Mo’Nique will take this one. She might get this before her unwillingness to campaign makes her lose an Oscar that she would otherwise win.

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds

I think James Cameron will win this, not because he made the best film, but because he has paid for this decade of films with profits from Avatar’s theatrical run alone.

Best Screenplay
Neill Blomkamp & Terri Tatchell, District 9
Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Nancy Meyers, It’s Complicated
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air

I’m guessing Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner will win this one. Mark Boal would be a safe bet, but The Hurt Locker just wasn’t popular enough outside of film critic circles. I wouldn’t be shocked if they gave it to Tarantino, just for the sake of giving it to Tarantino.

Best Score
Up
The Informant!
Avatar
A Single Man
Where the Wild Things Are

I honestly have no idea here. I’m just going to say Where the Wild Things Are so that they can give that film something.

Best Song
“Cinema Italiano,” Nine
“I Want to Come Home,” Everybody’s Fine
“I Will See You,” Avatar
“The Weary Kind,” Crazy Heart
“Winter,” Brothers

I’ll say I Want to Come Home by Paul McCartney will win. This category is always a popularity contest at the Globes. Paul McCartney wins that race.

Best Animated Film
Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs
Coraline
Fantastic Mr. Fox
The Princess & The Frog
Up

I say Up, hands down best animated picture of the year, if not the decade.

Best Foreign Language Film
Baria
Broken Embraces
The Maid
A Prophet
The White Ribbon

The White Ribbon was getting amazing reviews around the Toronto Film Festival. If it could sustain that hype, it’ll take this category.

And those are my picks. I’ll see all of the Oscar nominations by the time those come out, but for now I had to make some guesses.

We’ll see how I do Sunday night!